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ABSTRACT Pharmacogenetics is a promising strategy to facilitate individualized care for patients with Major Depressive Disorder (MDD). Research is ongoing to identify the optimal genetic markers for predicting outcomes to antidepressant therapies. The primary aim of this systematic review was to summarize antidepressant pharmacogenetic studies to enhance understanding of the genes, variants, datatypes/methodologies, and outcomes investigated in the context of MDD. The secondary aim was to identify clinical genetic panels indicated for antidepressant prescribing and summarize their genes and variants. Screening ofN = 5793 articles yieldedN = 390 for inclusion, largely comprising adult (≥ 18 years) populations. Top‐studied variants identified in the search were discussed and compared with those represented on theN = 34 clinical genetic panels that were identified. Summarization of articles revealed sources of heterogeneity across studies and low rates of replicability of pharmacogenetic associations. Heterogeneity was present in outcome definitions, treatment regimens, and differential inclusion of mediating variables in analyses. Efficacy outcomes (i.e., response, remission) were studied at greater frequency than adverse‐event outcomes. Studies that used advanced analytical approaches, such as machine learning, to integrate variants with complimentary biological datatypes were fewer in number but achieved higher rates of significant associations with treatment outcomes than candidate variant approaches. As large biological datasets become more prevalent, machine learning will be an increasingly valuable tool for parsing the complexity of antidepressant response. This review provides valuable context and considerations surrounding pharmacogenetic associations in MDD which will help inform future research and translation efforts for guiding antidepressant care. 

Abstract Heterogeneity in the clinical presentation of major depressive disorder and response to antidepressants limits clinicians’ ability to accurately predict a specific patient’s eventual response to therapy. Validated depressive symptom profiles may be an important tool for identifying poor outcomes early in the course of treatment. To derive these symptom profiles, we first examined data from 947 depressed subjects treated with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) to delineate the heterogeneity of antidepressant response using probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). We then used unsupervised machine learning to identify specific depressive symptoms and thresholds of improvement that were predictive of antidepressant response by 4 weeks for a patient to achieve remission, response, or nonresponse by 8 weeks. Four depressive symptoms (depressed mood, guilt feelings and delusion, work and activities and psychic anxiety) and specific thresholds of change in each at 4 weeks predicted eventual outcome at 8 weeks to SSRI therapy with an average accuracy of 77% ( p  = 5.5E-08). The same four symptoms and prognostic thresholds derived from patients treated with SSRIs correctly predicted outcomes in 72% ( p  = 1.25E-05) of 1996 patients treated with other antidepressants in both inpatient and outpatient settings in independent publicly-available datasets. These predictive accuracies were higher than the accuracy of 53% for predicting SSRI response achieved using approaches that (i) incorporated only baseline clinical and sociodemographic factors, or (ii) used 4-week nonresponse status to predict likely outcomes at 8 weeks. The present findings suggest that PGMs providing interpretable predictions have the potential to enhance clinical treatment of depression and reduce the time burden associated with trials of ineffective antidepressants. Prospective trials examining this approach are forthcoming. 

BackgroundThe treatment of depression in children and adolescents is a substantial public health challenge. This study examined artificial intelligence tools for the prediction of early outcomes in depressed children and adolescents treated with fluoxetine, duloxetine, or placebo. MethodsThe study samples included training datasets (N = 271) from patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) treated with fluoxetine and testing datasets from patients with MDD treated with duloxetine (N = 255) or placebo (N = 265). Treatment trajectories were generated using probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). Unsupervised machine learning identified specific depressive symptom profiles and related thresholds of improvement during acute treatment. ResultsVariation in six depressive symptoms (difficulty having fun, social withdrawal, excessive fatigue, irritability, low self‐esteem, and depressed feelings) assessed with the Children’s Depression Rating Scale‐Revised at 4–6 weeks predicted treatment outcomes with fluoxetine at 10–12 weeks with an average accuracy of 73% in the training dataset. The same six symptoms predicted 10–12 week outcomes at 4–6 weeks in (a) duloxetine testing datasets with an average accuracy of 76% and (b) placebo‐treated patients with accuracies of 67%. In placebo‐treated patients, the accuracies of predicting response and remission were similar to antidepressants. Accuracies for predicting nonresponse to placebo treatment were significantly lower than antidepressants. ConclusionsPGMs provided clinically meaningful predictions in samples of depressed children and adolescents treated with fluoxetine or duloxetine. Future work should augment PGMs with biological data for refined predictions to guide the selection of pharmacological and psychotherapeutic treatment in children and adolescents with depression.